Zagłębie Sosnowiec vs Rekord Bielsko Biała analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
9º
8º
17
12º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
70% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 37.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagłębie Sosnowiec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 3
ZAG
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ZAG
1 - 1
TSP
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
ZAG
62%
23%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ZAG
1 - 4
WIE
29%
26%
46%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
WIS
1 - 0
ZAG
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rekord Bielsko Biała
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
REK
0 - 1
CHO
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
REK
2 - 2
WIE
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
WIS
1 - 2
REK
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
REK
2 - 2
SKR
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SKO
3 - 2
REK
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |