Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 0-4
Zagłębie Sosnowiec vs PAOK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagłębie Sosnowiec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
ZAG
2 - 0
TSP
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
PAO
2 - 0
ZAG
59%
21%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
ZAW
2 - 0
ZAG
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
WLO
1 - 3
ZAG
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
ZAG
0 - 0
WIS
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
PAO
2 - 0
ZAG
59%
21%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
PAO
0 - 2
DYN
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
DYN
4 - 0
PAO
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
PAO
1 - 1
OMO
68%
17%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
OMO
0 - 2
PAO
47%
22%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |