Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Zagłębie Sosnowiec vs KS Cracovia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagłębie Sosnowiec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
ZAG
2 - 1
CHO
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
STO
2 - 4
ZAG
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ZAG
2 - 0
BYT
58%
25%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ROZ
0 - 1
ZAG
30%
27%
44%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
MIE
1 - 4
ZAG
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
KS Cracovia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CRA
4 - 1
POG
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
WAR
3 - 1
CRA
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CRA
5 - 2
LPO
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CRA
2 - 1
RCH
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
GKS
1 - 3
CRA
18%
22%
60%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |