Cup Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Zagłębie Sosnowiec vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagłębie Sosnowiec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
ZAG
0 - 1
MIE
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
POG
3 - 2
ZAG
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ZAG
0 - 2
KLU
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
LPO
1 - 0
ZAG
71%
18%
10%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
ARK
2 - 2
ZAG
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
LPO
0 - 1
SLA
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LPO
0 - 2
WAR
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
LPO
1 - 0
ZAG
71%
18%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
RCH
1 - 3
LPO
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LPO
2 - 1
CRA
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +2 |