Zadar vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
MEI
4 - 1
ZAD
33%
25%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ZAD
5 - 1
SOL
48%
26%
27%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ZAD
2 - 1
NKO
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ZAG
2 - 1
ZAD
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
ZAD
3 - 0
NKV
23%
25%
52%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
ZMI
3 - 1
SPL
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
SPL
6 - 2
JAD
60%
22%
17%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
ZMA
1 - 1
SPL
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
SPL
5 - 2
HRV
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
KAM
1 - 1
SPL
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |