Zadar vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
40.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
ZAG
2 - 0
ZAD
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ZAD
0 - 0
IST
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
ZAD
2 - 0
NKV
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RIJ
0 - 1
ZAD
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ZAD
2 - 1
INT
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SPL
2 - 0
HNS
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LOK
1 - 0
SPL
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SPL
3 - 1
KAR
72%
18%
9%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SPL
2 - 2
NKV
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
HKS
0 - 0
SPL
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |