Zadar vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2004 |
NKV
4 - 1
ZAD
68%
19%
14%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
ZAD
1 - 1
DZG
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
OSI
1 - 1
ZAD
67%
19%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
ZAD
2 - 3
HKS
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
RIJ
3 - 1
ZAD
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2004 |
RIJ
0 - 1
DZG
29%
27%
45%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
HKS
2 - 0
RIJ
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
RIJ
1 - 0
NKV
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
OSI
2 - 1
RIJ
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
RIJ
3 - 1
ZAD
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |