Zadar vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
ZAG
3 - 0
ZAD
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ZAD
1 - 3
DZG
13%
20%
67%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
OSI
4 - 1
ZAD
47%
25%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
SPL
3 - 0
ZAD
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ZAG
1 - 5
ZAD
10%
18%
71%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NKV
4 - 0
VUK
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 0
NKV
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NKV
0 - 0
VIS
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MEI
1 - 1
NKV
73%
16%
12%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
NKV
0 - 1
MZL
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |