Zadar vs Lučko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
IMO
4 - 2
ZAD
22%
26%
53%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
ZAD
1 - 0
HNG
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ZAG
0 - 0
ZAD
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ZAD
0 - 3
HNK
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
ZAD
0 - 5
NKD
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lučko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LUK
0 - 0
HNS
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
HDR
1 - 2
LUK
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LUK
3 - 1
NKR
28%
28%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
RUD
3 - 1
LUK
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
LUK
1 - 2
SEG
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |