Zadar vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
NKR
2 - 0
ZAD
48%
24%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
JAP
0 - 3
ZAD
9%
17%
74%
|
59 | 24 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ZAD
0 - 0
RUD
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SEG
1 - 1
ZAD
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ZAD
3 - 0
LUK
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
HDR
0 - 1
HNS
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
NKD
0 - 0
HDR
41%
28%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
NKR
3 - 1
HDR
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
HDR
1 - 1
RUD
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SEG
0 - 2
HDR
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |