Zadar vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HNK
4 - 0
ZAD
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ZAD
5 - 2
NKR
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
NKD
1 - 0
ZAD
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ZAD
1 - 1
ZAG
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RUD
3 - 0
ZAD
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HNS
1 - 0
SEG
67%
20%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
IMO
1 - 1
HNS
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
HNS
3 - 1
HDR
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
HNG
0 - 0
HNS
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HNS
3 - 0
LUK
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |