Zadar vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
OSI
2 - 1
ZAD
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
ZAD
1 - 0
SLA
36%
29%
36%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
POM
4 - 1
ZAD
53%
25%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
ZAD
2 - 1
RIJ
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
NKV
3 - 1
ZAD
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
HNS
2 - 0
POM
40%
26%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
OSI
1 - 0
HNS
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
HNS
0 - 0
RIJ
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
SLA
3 - 0
HNS
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
HNS
1 - 0
SLA
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |