Clausura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Zacatepec vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
TOL
27%
26%
48%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
JUA
0 - 1
CAÑ
40%
27%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAÑ
3 - 2
ALE
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
UDG
2 - 1
CAÑ
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
LEO
26%
24%
50%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
ALE
0 - 0
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAÑ
3 - 2
ALE
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ALE
1 - 2
CAF
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 1
ALE
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 0
ALE
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |