Zacatepec vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
UDG
2 - 1
CAÑ
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
LEO
26%
24%
50%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 0
DOR
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
PAC
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ZAC
4 - 1
CAÑ
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ALE
1 - 2
CAF
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 1
ALE
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 0
ALE
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ALE
5 - 2
CIM
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
ALE
0 - 0
PUE
35%
27%
39%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |