Zacatepec vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AUR
3 - 1
CAÑ
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 3
JUA
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
NEC
3 - 1
CAÑ
39%
24%
37%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MER
3 - 3
CAÑ
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAÑ
5 - 2
NEC
43%
23%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 1
MUR
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 3
AUR
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
ALE
3 - 1
CAF
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
JUA
1 - 1
ALE
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAF
1 - 0
ALE
26%
23%
52%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |