Zacatepec vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAÑ
0 - 0
TAM
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAÑ
0 - 0
ALE
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
ALE
3 - 1
CAÑ
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
JUA
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 2
CAÑ
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 3
CIM
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MUR
4 - 0
ATL
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
TAM
3 - 2
MUR
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
JUA
30%
28%
43%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ALE
4 - 0
MUR
66%
22%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |