Zacatepec vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 2
CAÑ
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
IRA
1 - 0
CAÑ
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
CAÑ
2 - 1
ALE
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAÑ
0 - 1
ALE
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
CAÑ
2 - 3
JAG
27%
23%
50%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
MER
2 - 0
ATL
52%
23%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MER
3 - 0
ZAC
56%
24%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 3
MER
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
MER
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
PUE
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |