Zacatepec vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
CAÑ
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
ATL
29%
26%
46%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
CAÑ
0 - 2
TEP
41%
23%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MER
0 - 1
CAÑ
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
TEP
2 - 0
CAÑ
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
ZAC
36%
28%
37%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 3
TEP
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
NEC
2 - 1
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 1
TOR
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 2
NEC
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |