Zacatepec vs Cafetaleros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAÑ
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 0
CIM
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
NEC
5 - 0
CAÑ
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 1
CAÑ
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
CAÑ
3 - 1
MUR
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MER
2 - 2
CAF
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
MER
1 - 2
CAF
31%
23%
46%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAF
0 - 0
MUR
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
CAF
2 - 1
LEO
24%
24%
52%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CIM
2 - 3
CAF
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |