Zacatepec vs Cafetaleros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ALE
4 - 2
CAÑ
73%
19%
9%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAÑ
0 - 1
UDG
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DEL
2 - 0
CAÑ
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAÑ
0 - 2
UAT
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 2
CAÑ
50%
27%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAF
1 - 2
LOB
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ALE
5 - 1
CAF
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAF
5 - 2
UDG
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DEL
1 - 0
CAF
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
UAT
0 - 0
CAF
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |