Zacapa vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
10º
7º
24
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
ZAC
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
ZAC
62%
22%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
COA
0 - 1
ZAC
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
ZAC
3 - 1
COB
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ZAC
0 - 1
XIN
32%
28%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 0
MIX
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 2
ACH
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
ANT
4 - 2
TOR
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
4 - 0
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
MUN
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |