Zacapa vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ZAC
2 - 1
HER
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CHI
4 - 1
ZAC
66%
20%
13%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
ZAC
2 - 2
DEP
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
HAL
2 - 1
ZAC
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ZAC
2 - 2
LEO
30%
26%
43%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 2
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
HAL
3 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 2
VEN
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
COM
3 - 1
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TOR
0 - 0
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |