Zacapa vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
29.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
5º
12º
11º
18
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
MIX
3 - 1
ZAC
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 0
MUN
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 0
ZAC
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 1
ACH
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
6 - 0
ZAC
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
MUN
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
ANT
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 1
GUA
51%
26%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
MIX
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
6 - 0
ZAC
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +2 |