Apertura Guatemala Fase final Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Zacapa vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
23.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 2
ZAC
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
ZAC
1 - 0
MUN
39%
28%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ZAC
4 - 0
TOR
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
ZAC
53%
27%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
ZAC
62%
22%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ANT
0 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
ANT
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
COB
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
XIN
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
GUA
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |