Yzeure vs Maur Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
56.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
13º
7º
29
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 60 |
1º
|
87% | |
|
|
1º
|
29 | 53 |
2º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 42 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 42 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 39 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
|
11º
|
15 | 34 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 33 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 33 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 32 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 31 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 24 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 87% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
18% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yzeure
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
DIJ
3 - 3
YZE
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
TRO
6 - 0
YZE
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
YZE
1 - 1
NEU
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
YZE
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
YZE
1 - 1
RAC
6%
14%
79%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SML
2 - 0
IVR
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CSL
0 - 2
SML
21%
26%
53%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SML
1 - 0
FCG
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SML
3 - 2
DIJ
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AUX
0 - 1
SML
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |