Yverdon vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
12º
11º
32
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 55 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 55 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 54 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 49 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 48 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 48 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 47 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 42 |
9º
|
42% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 35 |
10º
|
45% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 33 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0.5% | 74% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
99.5% | 26% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
YOB
6 - 1
YVE
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
YVE
3 - 0
WIN
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
YVE
0 - 0
SER
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ZUR
1 - 0
YVE
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
YVE
0 - 1
SIO
31%
25%
44%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
STG
2 - 1
LUG
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
FCL
2 - 0
STG
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
STG
3 - 2
LAU
52%
23%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SER
1 - 1
STG
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
DAR
1 - 0
STG
37%
24%
39%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |