Yverdon vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
57.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
10º
10º
59
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
YVE
2 - 2
LAU
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
YVE
64%
21%
16%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
YVE
1 - 1
WIN
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 1
YVE
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
YVE
0 - 3
GCZ
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 3
ZUR
38%
26%
37%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
BRU
2 - 0
LUG
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LAU
3 - 1
LUG
20%
22%
58%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
LAU
0 - 4
LUG
26%
23%
52%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 1
YOB
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |