Yverdon vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
49.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
12º
11º
40
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 57 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 54 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 51 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 49 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 48 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 48 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 41 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 34 |
10º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 32 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 0
YVE
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
YVE
0 - 3
LAU
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 3
YVE
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
YVE
2 - 0
LUG
27%
23%
50%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 1
YVE
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BAS
5 - 0
WIN
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
YOB
3 - 2
BAS
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 6
BAS
27%
23%
50%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 1
STG
37%
25%
39%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 0
YOB
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |