Yunnan Yukun vs Jiangxi Dark Horse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
4º
3º
17
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yunnan Yukun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
YUN
10%
15%
75%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
YUN
2 - 0
GFC
13%
18%
70%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | +3 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
YUN
5 - 0
SSP
10%
16%
74%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +8 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
QMW
0 - 1
YUN
9%
13%
78%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
YUN
4 - 0
QYF
7%
14%
79%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | +8 |
Matches
Jiangxi Dark Horse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
QYF
0 - 0
JIA
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 3
QYI
9%
16%
75%
|
21 | 59 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 6
CHO
60%
19%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
QUI
0 - 1
JIA
9%
13%
78%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
JIA
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |