UEFA EC U21 Final
Global 3-7
Yugoslavia 21s vs URSS U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia 21s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1990 |
ITA
2 - 2
YUG
75%
18%
7%
|
36 | 70 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
YUG
0 - 0
ITA
29%
29%
42%
|
35 | 70 | 35 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
BGR
0 - 1
YUG
77%
16%
7%
|
33 | 64 | 31 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
YUG
2 - 0
BGR
29%
28%
43%
|
31 | 65 | 34 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 1989 |
YUG
0 - 1
NOR
42%
24%
35%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
URSS U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1990 |
SUN
2 - 0
SWE
29%
29%
41%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
SWE
1 - 1
SUN
78%
16%
7%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
GER
1 - 2
SUN
78%
16%
7%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
SUN
1 - 1
GER
28%
30%
42%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1989 |
SUN
2 - 0
TUR
38%
25%
38%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | +2 |