UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Yugoslavia 21s vs Scotland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
46%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia 21s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
SCO
2 - 1
YUG
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 60 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1983 |
YUG
0 - 0
BGR
32%
25%
44%
|
19 | 62 | 43 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1983 |
WAL
1 - 0
YUG
77%
14%
10%
|
19 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1983 |
YUG
6 - 2
NOR
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 51 | 34 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 1982 |
YUG
2 - 0
WAL
37%
24%
39%
|
16 | 50 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
SCO
2 - 1
YUG
87%
9%
4%
|
60 | 19 | 41 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1983 |
BRD
1 - 1
SCO
34%
24%
42%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1983 |
SCO
0 - 0
BEL
59%
20%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1983 |
SCO
2 - 1
SUI
61%
19%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1982 |
BEL
1 - 2
SCO
59%
20%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |