Yugoslavia U23 vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
63.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
DDR
2 - 0
YUG
88%
9%
4%
|
31 | 82 | 51 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1971 |
YUG
2 - 0
IRL
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 71 | 43 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 1971 |
IRL
0 - 1
YUG
81%
12%
8%
|
27 | 72 | 45 | +1 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
DDR
2 - 0
YUG
88%
9%
4%
|
82 | 31 | 51 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
YUG
0 - 0
DDR
68%
19%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
NED
3 - 2
DDR
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
DDR
1 - 1
CSK
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1971 |
DDR
1 - 1
MEX
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |