Ypiranga PE vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
YPI
2 - 0
PER
42%
25%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
POR
4 - 1
YPI
52%
25%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
YPI
1 - 2
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
PER
1 - 1
YPI
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
YPI
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
PES
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
PER
3 - 1
SER
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SER
2 - 2
PER
58%
24%
19%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
PES
2 - 2
SER
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
YPI
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |