Ypiranga PE vs Belo Jardim FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
SER
4 - 0
YPI
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
YPI
1 - 0
CEN
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
YPI
0 - 0
SAN
22%
24%
55%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 3
YPI
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
YPI
38%
23%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Belo Jardim FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 2
POR
43%
25%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
BEL
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
BEL
44%
25%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
TFC
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
VCR
1 - 3
BEL
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |