Ypiranga FC vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.5%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
3.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SCI
3 - 0
YPI
86%
11%
4%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
YPI
2 - 2
CAX
63%
21%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 2
YPI
9%
17%
75%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
YPI
1 - 1
BOT
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
YPI
42%
30%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 1
ECA
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 1
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
NOV
57%
25%
18%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SLU
1 - 0
NOV
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
3 - 3
SLU
27%
25%
49%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |