Ypiranga FC vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
ECS
0 - 0
YPI
38%
26%
37%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
YPI
2 - 1
MON
76%
16%
9%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
YPI
1 - 1
SLU
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ECA
0 - 0
YPI
11%
21%
69%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
JUV
2 - 0
YPI
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
MON
1 - 3
GUA
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 0
PEL
55%
24%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
JUV
1 - 0
GUA
88%
9%
3%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BRA
0 - 0
GUA
60%
24%
17%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 2
SCI
9%
23%
68%
|
50 | 87 | 37 | +1 |