Copa Gaúcha Eliminatorias Final
Global 2-2
Ypiranga FC vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
YPI
3 - 1
JUV
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 0
YPI
5%
11%
83%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GAU
2 - 4
YPI
7%
16%
77%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
ECS
3 - 0
YPI
33%
25%
41%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 2
YPI
6%
12%
82%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
ECS
2 - 2
GAU
82%
14%
4%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
GAU
0 - 1
ECS
9%
18%
73%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
AIM
1 - 1
ECS
7%
16%
77%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
ECS
3 - 0
YPI
33%
25%
41%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ECS
3 - 1
SAO
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 29 | 38 | 0 |