Copa Gaúcha Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Ypiranga FC vs Juventude II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 0
YPI
5%
11%
83%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GAU
2 - 4
YPI
7%
16%
77%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
ECS
3 - 0
YPI
33%
25%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 2
YPI
6%
12%
82%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
YPI
1 - 0
SPO
80%
13%
7%
|
72 | 27 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Juventude II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 0
YPI
5%
11%
83%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 1
SPO
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 1
JUV
31%
22%
47%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 1
JUV
28%
21%
52%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 2
YPI
6%
12%
82%
|
38 | 72 | 34 | 0 |