Ypiranga AP vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SEC
1 - 1
YAP
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
TDC
3 - 1
YAP
57%
22%
22%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
YAP
0 - 2
TDC
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
TDC
1 - 2
YAP
57%
22%
22%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
SPM
0 - 8
YAP
31%
24%
46%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
IAP
4 - 1
SPM
64%
18%
18%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
SPM
0 - 8
YAP
31%
24%
46%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SEC
2 - 8
SPM
45%
22%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
ORC
3 - 0
SPM
55%
20%
26%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
SPM
0 - 5
SAN
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |