Ypiranga AP vs Peñarol AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
SPM
1 - 1
YAP
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
GAL
2 - 0
YAP
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
YAP
2 - 2
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
YAP
0 - 1
GAL
26%
24%
50%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
YAP
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
SAO
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 1
PEN
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
YAP
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 2
PEN
40%
24%
37%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 0
GAL
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |