Ypiranga AP vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
52.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 1
YAP
61%
19%
19%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ECM
2 - 2
YAP
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
YAP
3 - 4
SPM
49%
26%
25%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
ORC
5 - 2
YAP
36%
22%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
YAP
0 - 2
TDC
25%
25%
51%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
ORC
2 - 0
TDC
23%
19%
57%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SEC
1 - 3
ORC
35%
22%
44%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 1
ORC
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
ORC
5 - 2
YAP
36%
22%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
SPM
0 - 4
ORC
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |