Ypiranga AP vs Maranhão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 2
YAP
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
YAP
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 3
SEC
64%
21%
16%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 1
ORC
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
YAP
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
IMP
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
SAL
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
IMP
1 - 0
MAR
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
GUR
3 - 2
MAR
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 2
MAR
60%
21%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |