CAF Champions 1/16
Global 6-2
Young Africans vs Ngaya Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
12.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
15.4%
3-0
16.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.8%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.2%
1.7%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Young Africans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
NGA
1 - 5
YOU
5%
10%
85%
|
61 | 10 | 51 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
YOU
4 - 0
SUN
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
YOU
2 - 0
MWA
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
MMA
0 - 1
YOU
23%
27%
51%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2016 |
YOU
4 - 0
NDA
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ngaya Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
NGA
1 - 5
YOU
5%
10%
85%
|
10 | 61 | 51 | 0 |