York United vs HFX Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
7º
4º
25
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 51 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 46 |
2º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 45 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 40 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 33 |
5º
|
65% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 31 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 29 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
8º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
6% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
15% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
79% | 15.5% |
|
Eliminated
|
0% | 84.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 2
YOR
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
YOR
3 - 1
VAL
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 0
YOR
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 1
YOR
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
YOR
3 - 0
VAN
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 21 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
HFX Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
HFX
1 - 2
VAL
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HFX
1 - 1
CAV
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
HFX
2 - 2
SLA
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HFX
1 - 3
ATO
38%
27%
36%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 0
HFX
22%
25%
54%
|
66 | 20 | 46 | 0 |