York United vs HFX Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
8º
5º
42
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 0
YOR
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
YOR
2 - 1
ATO
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
YOR
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 2
YOR
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
YOR
1 - 0
CAV
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
HFX Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
HFX
3 - 1
CAV
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
HFX
2 - 0
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ATO
2 - 0
HFX
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 1
HFX
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
HFX
0 - 3
YOR
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |