York United vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
8º
5º
42
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 2
YOR
11%
20%
69%
|
66 | 14 | 52 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 1
YOR
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
YOR
2 - 2
HFX
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 0
YOR
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
YOR
2 - 1
ATO
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HFX
2 - 1
FOR
26%
28%
47%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 3
ATO
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
VAN
2 - 0
FOR
17%
25%
58%
|
74 | 12 | 62 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 0
FOR
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 1
PAC
48%
26%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |