York United vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
35.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
YOR
2 - 2
ATO
46%
26%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
YOR
2 - 0
CAV
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
EDM
1 - 1
YOR
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
YOR
0 - 1
HFX
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
YOR
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 0
EDM
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 2
CAV
46%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
PAC
2 - 1
FOR
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
CAZ
3 - 1
FOR
77%
14%
8%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
CAZ
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |