York United vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
40.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
YOR
0 - 0
VAL
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
PAC
1 - 1
YOR
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
YOR
2 - 2
ATO
46%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
YOR
0 - 2
HFX
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 4
YOR
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 1
PAC
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
HFX
1 - 1
FOR
26%
29%
46%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 0
EDM
75%
18%
8%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 2
CAV
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CAV
0 - 1
FOR
50%
26%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +2 |