York United vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
42.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
YOR
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
YOR
1 - 1
CAV
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
EDM
1 - 3
YOR
36%
29%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
YOR
2 - 4
VAL
54%
26%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
PAC
0 - 2
YOR
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 1
FOR
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
YOR
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
EDM
0 - 1
FOR
20%
28%
51%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 0
PAC
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
HFX
1 - 1
FOR
26%
29%
45%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |