York United vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2019 |
YOR
1 - 0
ASB
80%
14%
7%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
PAC
2 - 2
YOR
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
ASB
0 - 0
YOR
7%
13%
81%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 1
YOR
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
YOR
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 2
FOR
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 2
CAV
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 0
PAC
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
HFX
2 - 1
FOR
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
YOR
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |